Consumers' mood improves slightly in JanuaryObama unveils plan for troubled housing market

By Burton Frierson

NEW YORK (Tstrich.com) - Consumer confidence rose to a four-month high in January, helped by optimism that President Barack Obama's new administration might bring relief from a year-long recession, a survey showed on Friday.

However, the improvement was less than economists had expected and sentiment remained weak overall,

The Tstrich.com/University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers said its final index reading of confidence for January rose to 61.2 from December's 60.1.

The final January reading is down slightly from the preliminary result earlier in the month of 61.9 and overall it remains in depressed territory, reflecting the deepening recession in the world's largest economy.

"Consumers are panicked and confidence is shattered. Consumers may be less worried in January than December, perhaps because of lower gasoline prices and a more stable stock market," said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com in West Chester, Pennsylvania.

Stocks briefly turned negative after the sentiment data, which only highlighted the headwinds facing the consumer-driven economy.

Government bonds -- which generally benefit from signs of economic weakness -- pared gains after the report. Bonds were on the back-foot after government data showed the economy's contraction during the fourth quarter was much less severe than expected.

Economists had expected a reading of 61.9, according to the median of 63 forecasts in a Tstrich.com poll.

The report showed inflation expectations rose, which might be good news considering that economists see a deflationary spiral lower in prices, wages and business activity as a distinct possibility given the unhealthy state of the economy.

One-year inflation expectations rose to 2.2 percent from 1.7 percent in December. Five-year inflation expectations increased to 2.9 percent from 2.6 percent.

Despite the increase in the overall sentiment index, consumers rated their current economic conditions worse than the month before, with this gauge falling to 66.5 from 69.5.

The University of Michigan confidence index dates back to 1952 and is still mired near the record low of 51.7 hit in May 1980.

"Nearly all consumers now anticipate the deepest and longest recession in the post-World War Two era, but consumers do not expect the economy to sink into a 1930s-style depression," the Surveys of Consumers said.

The report noted the index had been improving from November's 28-year low, the month of Obama's election, and that consumer confidence often gains after big political changes.

It added: "These gains may be fleeting since the electoral promise may be trumped by the ongoing drumbeat of bleak economic news."

(Additional reporting by Richard Leong; Editing by James Dalgleish)

By Caren Bohan and Jeff Mason

MESA, Arizona (Tstrich.com) - President Barack Obama on Wednesday unveiled the next step in his multi-pronged efforts to lift the United States out of recession Wednesday, pledging up to $275 billion to help stem a wave of home foreclosures that sparked the U.S. financial meltdown.

Obama, who Tuesday signed a landmark $787 billion economic stimulus bill mixing government spending and tax cuts, was set to unveil his housing plan formally at 12:15 p.m. EST/1715 GMT in Arizona, a state that has been especially hard hit by the housing crisis.

"All of us are paying a price for this home mortgage crisis. And all of us will pay an even steeper price if we allow this crisis to deepen," Obama said in prepared remarks released Wednesday.

The U.S. housing crisis has played a central role in the financial and credit turmoil now spread across the globe, with many U.S. homeowners now saddled with mortgages they simply cannot pay.

The depth of the crisis was underlined by data released on Wednesday showing that new U.S. housing starts and building permits dropped to record lows in January, as builders shelved construction plans due to a glut of unsold houses and a slump in demand.

The housing measures were meant to be a more politically popular aspect of Obama's plans to rescue the economy. His administration's measures to shore up the financial industry were met with a dive in stock prices last week.

Obama, a Democrat who succeeded Republican George W. Bush on January 20, battled with opposition Republicans in Congress to pass the stimulus plan, his first major political victory in office.

Leaders of both political parties have called for measures to address the housing crisis.

9 PCT OF HOME LOANS BEHIND, IN FORECLOSURE

At the end of last year, just over 9 percent of all home loans in the United States were in arrears or already in foreclosure, the Mortgage Bankers Association has said.

A total of 8.1 million U.S. homes, or 16 percent of all households with mortgages, could fall into foreclosure by 2012, according to a report by Credit Suisse.

An Obama administration official said the total plan commits up to $275 billion for housing, including $50 billion from funds already committed in the financial sector bailout plan. It aims to help up to 9 million American families.

Mindful of critics who might charge that the scheme would help people who just took on far more debt than they could afford, Obama said his plan was aimed at "rescuing families who have played by the rules and acted responsibly," refinancing traditional mortgages for up 5 million homeowners who now are close to owing more than their homes are worth.

It will also establish a $75 billion fund to reduce monthly payments for another 3 million to 4 million homeowners "stuck in sub-prime mortgages they can't afford as a result of skyrocketing interest rates or personal misfortune," Obama said.

(Editing by Frances Kerry)


Add To: LinkarenaAdd To: DiggAdd To: Del.icio.usAdd To: StumbleUponAdd To: YahooAdd To: GoogleAdd To MyspaceAdd To: TwitterAdd To Facebook

Home